Saito, H., "Bayesian Performance Estimation Driven by Performance Monitoring and its Application," IEICE, E79-B, 1, pp. 1-7 (1996).
A performance estimation method has been developed that combines conventional performance evaluation with Bayesian regression analysis. The conventional method is used to estimate performance a priori; this a priori estimate is then updated through Bayesian regression analysis using monitored performance. This method compensates for modeling errors in the conventional technique without recreating complex performance models; it does not require additional traffic measurement or system behavior models. Numerical examples and applications of traffic management in ATM PVC networks have demonstrated its effectiveness.